Zalgiris vs Bayern Munich prediction EuroLeague · Friday, March 26
At a glance
FC Bayern Munich (2-7) host Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) on Friday, March 26 at 3:00 PM ET at SAP GARDEN in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Zalgiris Kaunas a 64% chance to win and projects a 88-84 score (Zalgiris – Bayern Munich), about 171 total points. This season, FC Bayern Munich are 0-4 at home and Zalgiris Kaunas are 3-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for FC Bayern Munich and 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas (current streaks: Bayern Munich L4, Zalgiris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 32% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Zalgiris, but Bayern Munich has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bayern Munich 84 – 88 Zalgiris, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of Zalgiris and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-5.2 vs +2.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Bayern Munich needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Zalgiris' offense (86.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Zalgiris' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ZALBAY
Recent form
ZAL
91-74W
105-85L
70-85L
80-99W
88-81BAY
73-103L84-88L
91-107L
87-95W101-93Team comparison
| ZAL | BAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 2-7 |
| 86.4 | Points scored / game | 83.3 |
| 83.8 | Points allowed / game | 89.4 |
| +2.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | L4 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 2-7 |
| 3-2 road | Home / road record | 0-4 home |
| 24-18 (+3.8) | Last season | 17-21 (-2.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.