Bayern Munich vs Zalgiris prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 17
At a glance
Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) host FC Bayern Munich (2-7) on Tuesday, November 17 at 1:00 PM ET at ZALGIRIO ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Zalgiris Kaunas a 82% chance to win and projects a 80-91 score (Bayern Munich – Zalgiris), about 171 total points. This season, Zalgiris Kaunas are 1-2 at home and FC Bayern Munich are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas and 2-7 for FC Bayern Munich (current streaks: Zalgiris W2, Bayern Munich L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 23% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Zalgiris starts with a clear edge. The model projects Zalgiris 91 – 80 Bayern Munich, a margin of about 10.6 points in favor of Zalgiris and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+2.2 vs -5.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Bayern Munich needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Zalgiris' offense (86.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Zalgiris' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BAYZAL
Recent form
BAY
73-103L
84-88L
91-107L
87-95W
101-93ZAL
91-74W
105-85L70-85L
80-99W88-81Team comparison
| BAY | ZAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 4-4 |
| 83.3 | Points scored / game | 86.4 |
| 89.4 | Points allowed / game | 83.8 |
| -5.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.2 |
| L4 | Current streak | W2 |
| 2-7 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 2-3 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 17-21 (-2.9) | Last season | 24-18 (+3.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.