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Paris vs LDLC ASVEL prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, March 25

Thu, Mar 25 · 3:00 PM ETLDLC ARENA
52% win PBBwin ASV 48%
FavoritePBB
Projected margin0.6
Projected total177
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) host Paris Basketball (3-6) on Thursday, March 25 at 3:00 PM ET at LDLC ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Paris Basketball a 52% chance to win and projects a 89-88 score (Paris – LDLC ASVEL), about 177 total points. This season, LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 2-2 at home and Paris Basketball are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne and 3-6 for Paris Basketball (current streaks: LDLC ASVEL W1, Paris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects LDLC ASVEL 88 – 89 Paris, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of Paris and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Paris' offense (89.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge LDLC ASVEL
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ASV -6.2 / PBB -2.4 per game
-3.8
Home-court advantageLDLC ASVEL at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor LDLC ASVEL
-0.6

Scenarios

LDLC ASVEL win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Paris win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

PBBASV
89.1
Points scored / game
83.0
92.0
Points allowed / game
90.3
-2.4
Adjusted margin / game
-6.2
33 %
Win %
38 %
1
Home wins
2
2
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
PBB
WMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv99-94WDubai Basketball99-93LValencia Basket93-104LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade81-90LVirtus Bologna94-96
ASV
WPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade82-75LZalgiris Kaunas85-105LReal Madrid92-111LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade82-84WParis Basketball98-96

Team comparison

PBBASV
3-6Record3-5
89.1Points scored / game83.0
92.0Points allowed / game90.3
-2.4Adjusted margin / game-6.2
W2Current streakW1
3-6Last 10 games3-5
2-2 roadHome / road record2-2 home
15-23 (-0.9)Last season8-30 (-7.3)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.