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Milan vs Maccabi prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 8

FinalALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL
49% win MILwin MTA 51%
FavoriteMTA
Projected margin0.4
Projected total176
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (0-3) host Armani Olimpia Milan (1-2) on Thursday, October 8 at 12:00 PM ET at ALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL in EuroLeague action. Final score: Milan 79 – Maccabi 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 0-1 at home and Armani Olimpia Milan are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-3 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv and 1-2 for Armani Olimpia Milan (current streaks: Maccabi L3, Milan L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Maccabi 89 – 88 Milan, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of Maccabi and a total around 176 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • Milan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Milan's defense allows clearly fewer points (87.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Maccabi
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MTA -5.3 / MIL -2.6 per game
-2.8
Home-court advantageMaccabi at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Maccabi
+0.4

Scenarios

Maccabi win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Milan win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

MILMTA
84.3
Points scored / game
86.8
87.3
Points allowed / game
93.1
-2.6
Adjusted margin / game
-5.3
33 %
Win %
0 %
1
Home wins
0
0
Road wins
0

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
MIL
LKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz76-86WVirtus Bologna87-85LPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade76-92
MTA
LPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens67-90LBesiktas Istanbul93-109LLDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne74-84

Team comparison

MILMTA
1-2Record0-3
84.3Points scored / game86.8
87.3Points allowed / game93.1
-2.6Adjusted margin / game-5.3
L1Current streakL3
1-2Last 10 games0-3
0-2 roadHome / road record0-1 home
17-21 (-1.2)Last season18-20 (-2.5)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.