Zalgiris vs Panathinaikos prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, March 18
At a glance
Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (7-1) host Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) on Thursday, March 18 at 3:15 PM ET at TELEKOM CENTER ATHENS in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 73% chance to win and projects a 81-88 score (Zalgiris – Panathinaikos), about 168 total points. This season, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 6-1 at home and Zalgiris Kaunas are 3-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 7-1 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens and 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas (current streaks: Panathinaikos W2, Zalgiris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 28% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Panathinaikos dominates this matchup. The model projects Panathinaikos 88 – 81 Zalgiris, a margin of about 7.1 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 168 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Zalgiris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (79.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ZALPAO
Recent form
ZAL
91-74W
105-85L
70-85L
80-99W
88-81PAO
80-75W
85-79L
81-91W
72-55W92-74Team comparison
| ZAL | PAO | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 7-1 |
| 86.4 | Points scored / game | 86.6 |
| 83.8 | Points allowed / game | 79.5 |
| +2.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 7-1 |
| 3-2 road | Home / road record | 6-1 home |
| 24-18 (+3.8) | Last season | 25-19 (+1.7) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.