Panathinaikos vs Zalgiris prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, November 19
At a glance
Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) host Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (7-1) on Thursday, November 19 at 1:00 PM ET at ZALGIRIO ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 52% chance to win and projects a 85-84 score (Panathinaikos – Zalgiris), about 168 total points. This season, Zalgiris Kaunas are 1-2 at home and Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas and 7-1 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (current streaks: Zalgiris W2, Panathinaikos W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Zalgiris 84 – 85 Panathinaikos, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 168 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Zalgiris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (79.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PAOZAL
Recent form
PAO
80-75W
85-79L
81-91W
72-55W
92-74ZAL
91-74W
105-85L
70-85L80-99W
88-81Team comparison
| PAO | ZAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 4-4 |
| 86.6 | Points scored / game | 86.4 |
| 79.5 | Points allowed / game | 83.8 |
| +6.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 7-1 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 25-19 (+1.7) | Last season | 24-18 (+3.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.