Valencia vs Maccabi prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, March 18
At a glance
Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) host Valencia Basket (6-2) on Thursday, March 18 at 3:05 PM ET at ALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Valencia Basket a 71% chance to win and projects a 94-88 score (Valencia – Maccabi), about 182 total points. This season, Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-3 at home and Valencia Basket are 3-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv and 6-2 for Valencia Basket (current streaks: Maccabi L3, Valencia W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Valencia, but Maccabi has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Maccabi 88 – 94 Valencia, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 182 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-4.6 vs +4.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Valencia's defense allows clearly fewer points (88.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VBCMTA
Recent form
VBC
86-78W
104-93L88-91L
97-102W
93-82MTA94-99L
78-100L
99-113W91-88L
87-90Team comparison
| VBC | MTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 2-7 |
| 93.9 | Points scored / game | 88.3 |
| 88.1 | Points allowed / game | 93.7 |
| +4.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.6 |
| W2 | Current streak | L3 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 2-7 |
| 3-0 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 28-16 (+4.1) | Last season | 18-20 (-2.5) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.