Besiktas vs Olympiacos prediction EuroLeague · Friday, March 12
At a glance
Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) host Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) on Friday, March 12 at 2:15 PM ET at PEACE AND FRIENDSHIP STADIUM in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 82% chance to win and projects a 82-92 score (Besiktas – Olympiacos), about 174 total points. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-1 at home and Besiktas Istanbul are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul (current streaks: Olympiacos W1, Besiktas L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 23% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Olympiacos starts with a clear edge. The model projects Olympiacos 92 – 82 Besiktas, a margin of about 10.5 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+6.3 vs -1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Besiktas needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' offense (90.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Olympiacos' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BJKOLY
Recent form
BJK73-81L
80-89W
95-87L
82-100W
92-84OLY81-73L
61-64W
105-100W
102-97W89-66Head-to-head
Team comparison
| BJK | OLY | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 6-2 |
| 86.2 | Points scored / game | 90.9 |
| 87.3 | Points allowed / game | 83.5 |
| -1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.3 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-5 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| – | Last season | 31-12 (+8.0) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.