Hapoel TLV vs Real Madrid prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, March 9
At a glance
Real Madrid (6-3) host Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) on Tuesday, March 9 at 2:45 PM ET at MOVISTAR ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Real Madrid a 67% chance to win and projects a 86-91 score (Hapoel TLV – Real Madrid), about 177 total points. This season, Real Madrid are 3-0 at home and Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Real Madrid and 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (current streaks: Real Madrid W6, Hapoel TLV W4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Real Madrid is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Real Madrid 91 – 86 Hapoel TLV, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Hapoel TLV needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
HTARMB
Recent form
HTA
118-88W
90-81W
91-81W
100-82L
82-93RMB
95-76W
104-86W
113-99W
111-92W
98-89Team comparison
| HTA | RMB | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 6-3 |
| 90.4 | Points scored / game | 92.4 |
| 85.8 | Points allowed / game | 85.6 |
| +3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.7 |
| W4 | Current streak | W6 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 3-0 home |
| 24-18 (+1.9) | Last season | 28-16 (+5.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.