Real Madrid vs Hapoel TLV prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 1
At a glance
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (1-1) host Real Madrid (0-2) on Thursday, October 1 at 12:00 PM ET at ARENA 8888 SOFIA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Real Madrid 98 – Hapoel TLV 102. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 0-1 at home and Real Madrid are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv and 0-2 for Real Madrid (current streaks: Hapoel TLV W1, Real Madrid L2).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hapoel TLV 86 – 84 Real Madrid, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- Real Madrid needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
RMBHTA
Recent form
RMB
84-94L
77-78HTA
81-80L
84-86Team comparison
| RMB | HTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 1-1 |
| 86.6 | Points scored / game | 86.3 |
| 83.6 | Points allowed / game | 84.9 |
| +2.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.2 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 0-2 | Last 10 games | 1-1 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 28-16 (+5.1) | Last season | 24-18 (+1.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.