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Paris vs Partizan prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, March 9

Tue, Mar 9 · 2:45 PM ETBELGRADE ARENA
40% win PBBwin PAR 60%
FavoritePAR
Projected margin3.0
Projected total172
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) host Paris Basketball (3-6) on Tuesday, March 9 at 2:45 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade a 60% chance to win and projects a 84-88 score (Paris – Partizan), about 172 total points. This season, Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-1 at home and Paris Basketball are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade and 3-6 for Paris Basketball (current streaks: Partizan L1, Paris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Partizan, but Paris has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Partizan 88 – 84 Paris, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of Partizan and a total around 172 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Paris' offense (89.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Partizan's defense allows clearly fewer points (83.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Partizan
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PAR -2.6 / PBB -2.4 per game
-0.2
Home-court advantagePartizan at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Partizan
+3.0

Scenarios

Partizan win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Paris win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

PBBPAR
89.1
Points scored / game
79.9
92.0
Points allowed / game
83.0
-2.4
Adjusted margin / game
-2.6
33 %
Win %
50 %
1
Home wins
2
2
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
PBB
WMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv99-94WDubai Basketball99-93LValencia Basket93-104LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade81-90LVirtus Bologna94-96
PAR
LLDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne75-82WCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade85-82LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul65-74LPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens55-72LReal Madrid76-86

Team comparison

PBBPAR
3-6Record4-4
89.1Points scored / game79.9
92.0Points allowed / game83.0
-2.4Adjusted margin / game-2.6
W2Current streakL1
3-6Last 10 games4-4
2-2 roadHome / road record2-1 home
15-23 (-0.9)Last season16-22 (-4.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.