Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Partizan vs Paris prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, September 29

FinalADIDAS ARENA
40% win PARwin PBB 60%
FavoritePBB
Projected margin3.0
Projected total174
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Paris Basketball (0-1) host Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (1-0) on Tuesday, September 29 at 2:45 PM ET at ADIDAS ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Partizan 92 – Paris 79. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Paris Basketball a 60% chance to win: prediction missed. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for Paris Basketball and 1-0 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (current streaks: Paris L1, Partizan W1).

The analysis Model

Paris is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Paris 88 – 85 Partizan, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of Paris and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Paris' offense (88.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Partizan's defense allows clearly fewer points (85.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Paris
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PBB -2.5 / PAR -2.2 per game
-0.2
Home-court advantageParis at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Paris
+3.0

Scenarios

Paris win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Partizan win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

PARPBB
82.8
Points scored / game
88.0
85.4
Points allowed / game
91.0
-2.2
Adjusted margin / game
-2.5
100 %
Win %
0 %
1
Home wins
0
0
Road wins
0

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
PAR
WArmani Olimpia Milan92-76
PBB
LPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens72-91

Team comparison

PARPBB
1-0Record0-1
82.8Points scored / game88.0
85.4Points allowed / game91.0
-2.2Adjusted margin / game-2.5
W1Current streakL1
1-0Last 10 games0-1
0-0 roadHome / road record0-0 home
16-22 (-4.9)Last season15-23 (-0.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.