LDLC ASVEL vs Besiktas prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, March 9
At a glance
Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) host LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) on Tuesday, March 9 at 12:00 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Besiktas Istanbul a 77% chance to win and projects a 82-91 score (LDLC ASVEL – Besiktas), about 173 total points. This season, Besiktas Istanbul are 1-3 at home and LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul and 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (current streaks: Besiktas L2, LDLC ASVEL W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 26% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Besiktas dominates this matchup. The model projects Besiktas 91 – 82 LDLC ASVEL, a margin of about 8.4 points in favor of Besiktas and a total around 173 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-1.0 vs -6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Besiktas' offense (86.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ASVBJK
Recent form
ASV
82-75L
85-105L
92-111L
82-84W
98-96BJK
73-81L
80-89W
95-87L
82-100W
92-84Head-to-head
Team comparison
| ASV | BJK | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 3-5 |
| 83.0 | Points scored / game | 86.2 |
| 90.3 | Points allowed / game | 87.3 |
| -6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 3-5 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 8-30 (-7.3) | Last season | – |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.