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Besiktas vs LDLC ASVEL prediction EuroLeague · Friday, November 13

Fri, Nov 13 · 2:30 PM ETLDLC ARENA
57% win BJKwin ASV 43%
FavoriteBJK
Projected margin2.0
Projected total173
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) host Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) on Friday, November 13 at 2:30 PM ET at LDLC ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Besiktas Istanbul a 57% chance to win and projects a 88-86 score (Besiktas – LDLC ASVEL), about 173 total points. This season, LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 2-2 at home and Besiktas Istanbul are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne and 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul (current streaks: LDLC ASVEL W1, Besiktas L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects LDLC ASVEL 86 – 88 Besiktas, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of Besiktas and a total around 173 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.2 vs -1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Besiktas' offense (86.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge LDLC ASVEL
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ASV -6.2 / BJK -1.0 per game
-5.2
Home-court advantageLDLC ASVEL at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor LDLC ASVEL
-2.0

Scenarios

LDLC ASVEL win by 10+
15%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Besiktas win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

BJKASV
86.2
Points scored / game
83.0
87.3
Points allowed / game
90.3
-1.0
Adjusted margin / game
-6.2
38 %
Win %
38 %
1
Home wins
2
2
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
BJK
LOlympiacos Piraeus73-81LAnadolu Efes Istanbul80-89WFC Bayern Munich95-87LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv82-100WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz92-84
ASV
WPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade82-75LZalgiris Kaunas85-105LReal Madrid92-111LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade82-84WParis Basketball98-96

Team comparison

BJKASV
3-5Record3-5
86.2Points scored / game83.0
87.3Points allowed / game90.3
-1.0Adjusted margin / game-6.2
L2Current streakW1
3-5Last 10 games3-5
2-2 roadHome / road record2-2 home
–Last season8-30 (-7.3)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.