Dubai vs Fenerbahce prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 2
At a glance
Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (2-0) host Dubai Basketball (2-0) on Friday, October 2 at 1:45 PM ET at ULKER SPORTS AND EVENT HALL in EuroLeague action. Final score: Dubai 66 – Fenerbahce 76. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 2-0 at home. Since the start of the season: 2-0 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul and 2-0 for Dubai Basketball (current streaks: Fenerbahce W2, Dubai W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Fenerbahce, but Dubai has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Fenerbahce 87 – 81 Dubai, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of Fenerbahce and a total around 168 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- Dubai needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Dubai's offense (87.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (78.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
DUBFBT
Recent form
DUB
94-87W
78-77FBT
100-76W
78-68Team comparison
| DUB | FBT | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 87.7 | Points scored / game | 83.3 |
| 86.8 | Points allowed / game | 78.8 |
| +0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.8 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 2-0 | Last 10 games | 2-0 |
| 0-0 road | Home / road record | 2-0 home |
| 19-19 (+0.1) | Last season | 27-16 (+1.4) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.