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Fenerbahce vs Dubai prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, January 12

Tue, Jan 12 · 11:00 AM ETCOCA-COLA ARENA
45% win FBTwin DUB 55%
FavoriteDUB
Projected margin1.6
Projected total167
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Dubai Basketball (5-3) host Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-3) on Tuesday, January 12 at 11:00 AM ET at COCA-COLA ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Dubai Basketball a 55% chance to win and projects a 82-84 score (Fenerbahce – Dubai), about 167 total points. This season, Dubai Basketball are 2-2 at home and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for Dubai Basketball and 6-3 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (current streaks: Dubai L1, Fenerbahce L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Dubai 84 – 82 Fenerbahce, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of Dubai and a total around 167 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.

  • Fenerbahce needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Dubai's offense (87.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (78.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Dubai
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DUB +0.4 / FBT +2.0 per game
-1.6
Home-court advantageDubai at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Dubai
+1.6

Scenarios

Dubai win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Fenerbahce win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

FBTDUB
80.8
Points scored / game
87.2
78.4
Points allowed / game
86.7
2.0
Adjusted margin / game
0.4
67 %
Win %
63 %
5
Home wins
2
1
Road wins
3

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
FBT
LReal Madrid76-95LValencia Basket78-86WOlympiacos Piraeus64-61WPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade74-65WZalgiris Kaunas99-80
DUB
LParis Basketball93-99WFC Bayern Munich107-91WArmani Olimpia Milan101-97WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz93-79LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade58-77

Team comparison

FBTDUB
6-3Record5-3
80.8Points scored / game87.2
78.4Points allowed / game86.7
+2.0Adjusted margin / game+0.4
L2Current streakL1
6-3Last 10 games5-3
1-3 roadHome / road record2-2 home
27-16 (+1.4)Last season19-19 (+0.1)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.