Olympiacos vs Dubai prediction EuroLeague · Friday, March 5
At a glance
Dubai Basketball (5-3) host Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) on Friday, March 5 at 11:00 AM ET at COCA-COLA ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 59% chance to win and projects a 88-86 score (Olympiacos – Dubai), about 174 total points. This season, Dubai Basketball are 2-2 at home and Olympiacos Piraeus are 5-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for Dubai Basketball and 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus (current streaks: Dubai L1, Olympiacos W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Olympiacos, but Dubai has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Dubai 86 – 88 Olympiacos, a margin of about 2.7 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs +6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Dubai needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' offense (90.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Olympiacos' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
OLYDUB
Recent form
OLY
81-73L
61-64W
105-100W
102-97W
89-66DUB
93-99W
107-91W
101-97W
93-79L
58-77Team comparison
| OLY | DUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 5-3 |
| 90.9 | Points scored / game | 87.2 |
| 83.5 | Points allowed / game | 86.7 |
| +6.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 5-3 |
| 5-1 road | Home / road record | 2-2 home |
| 31-12 (+8.0) | Last season | 19-19 (+0.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.