Dubai vs Olympiacos prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, November 12
At a glance
Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) host Dubai Basketball (5-3) on Thursday, November 12 at 2:15 PM ET at SUNEL ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 79% chance to win and projects a 83-92 score (Dubai – Olympiacos), about 174 total points. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-1 at home and Dubai Basketball are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 5-3 for Dubai Basketball (current streaks: Olympiacos W1, Dubai L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 25% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Olympiacos dominates this matchup. The model projects Olympiacos 92 – 83 Dubai, a margin of about 9.1 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+6.3 vs +0.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Dubai needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' offense (90.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Olympiacos' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
DUBOLY
Recent form
DUB
93-99W
107-91W
101-97W
93-79L
58-77OLY
81-73L
61-64W
105-100W
102-97W
89-66Team comparison
| DUB | OLY | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 6-2 |
| 87.2 | Points scored / game | 90.9 |
| 86.7 | Points allowed / game | 83.5 |
| +0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 5-3 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 3-1 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 19-19 (+0.1) | Last season | 31-12 (+8.0) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.