Fenerbahce vs Crvena Zvezda prediction EuroLeague · Friday, March 5
At a glance
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) host Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-3) on Friday, March 5 at 2:00 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 68% chance to win and projects a 79-84 score (Fenerbahce – Crvena Zvezda), about 163 total points. This season, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 4-2 at home and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade and 6-3 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (current streaks: Crvena Zvezda W2, Fenerbahce L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Crvena Zvezda is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Crvena Zvezda 84 – 79 Fenerbahce, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 163 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Fenerbahce needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's offense (86.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
FBTCZVRecent form
FBT
76-95L
78-86W
64-61W
74-65W
99-80CZV
103-73W
100-78L82-85W
90-81W
84-82Team comparison
| FBT | CZV | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 6-3 |
| 80.8 | Points scored / game | 86.3 |
| 78.4 | Points allowed / game | 81.3 |
| +2.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.3 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 4-2 home |
| 27-16 (+1.4) | Last season | 21-18 (+1.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.