Crvena Zvezda vs Fenerbahce prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, December 3
At a glance
Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-3) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) on Thursday, December 3 at 12:45 PM ET at ULKER SPORTS AND EVENT HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul a 53% chance to win and projects a 81-82 score (Crvena Zvezda – Fenerbahce), about 163 total points. This season, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 5-0 at home and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul and 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: Fenerbahce L2, Crvena Zvezda W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Fenerbahce 82 – 81 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 1.0 points in favor of Fenerbahce and a total around 163 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Crvena Zvezda needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's offense (86.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
CZVFBTRecent form
CZV
103-73W
100-78L
82-85W
90-81W
84-82FBT
76-95L
78-86W
64-61W74-65W
99-80Team comparison
| CZV | FBT | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 6-3 |
| 86.3 | Points scored / game | 80.8 |
| 81.3 | Points allowed / game | 78.4 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 5-0 home |
| 21-18 (+1.1) | Last season | 27-16 (+1.4) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.