Hapoel TLV vs Virtus Bologna prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, March 4
At a glance
Virtus Bologna (4-4) host Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) on Thursday, March 4 at 2:30 PM ET at VIRTUS ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 63% chance to win and projects a 88-85 score (Hapoel TLV – Virtus Bologna), about 173 total points. This season, Virtus Bologna are 2-1 at home and Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Virtus Bologna and 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (current streaks: Virtus Bologna L2, Hapoel TLV W4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 32% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Hapoel TLV, but Virtus Bologna has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Virtus Bologna 85 – 88 Hapoel TLV, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 173 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-3.0 vs +3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Virtus Bologna needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Hapoel TLV's offense (90.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
HTAVIR
Recent form
HTA
118-88W90-81W
91-81W
100-82L
82-93VIR
74-91L81-90W
86-78W
96-94W
94-87Team comparison
| HTA | VIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 4-4 |
| 90.4 | Points scored / game | 83.4 |
| 85.8 | Points allowed / game | 86.9 |
| +3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.0 |
| W4 | Current streak | L2 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 24-18 (+1.9) | Last season | 14-24 (-4.6) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.