Partizan vs Baskonia prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, March 4
At a glance
Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-7) host Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) on Thursday, March 4 at 2:45 PM ET at BUESA ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade a 52% chance to win and projects a 86-85 score (Partizan – Baskonia), about 171 total points. This season, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 1-4 at home and Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-7 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz and 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (current streaks: Baskonia L5, Partizan L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Baskonia 85 – 86 Partizan, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of Partizan and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Baskonia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Baskonia's offense (86.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Partizan's defense allows clearly fewer points (83.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PARKBARecent form
PAR
75-82W
85-82L
65-74L
55-72L
76-86KBA86-104L79-85L
78-86L
79-93L
84-92Team comparison
| PAR | KBA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 1-7 |
| 79.9 | Points scored / game | 86.0 |
| 83.0 | Points allowed / game | 93.6 |
| -2.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | L5 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 1-7 |
| 2-3 road | Home / road record | 1-4 home |
| 16-22 (-4.9) | Last season | 13-25 (-4.7) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.