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Partizan vs Bayern Munich prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 2

FinalSAP GARDEN
49% win PARwin BAY 51%
FavoriteBAY
Projected margin0.3
Projected total167
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

FC Bayern Munich (1-1) host Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (2-0) on Friday, October 2 at 2:00 PM ET at SAP GARDEN in EuroLeague action. Final score: Partizan 86 – Bayern Munich 84. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave FC Bayern Munich a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for FC Bayern Munich and 2-0 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (current streaks: Bayern Munich L1, Partizan W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bayern Munich 85 – 84 Partizan, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of Bayern Munich and a total around 167 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bayern Munich
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BAY -3.8 / PAR -0.9 per game
-2.9
Home-court advantageBayern Munich at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Bayern Munich
+0.3

Scenarios

Bayern Munich win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Partizan win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

PARBAY
83.7
Points scored / game
80.8
84.7
Points allowed / game
85.3
-0.9
Adjusted margin / game
-3.8
100 %
Win %
50 %
1
Home wins
0
1
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
PAR
WParis Basketball92-79WArmani Olimpia Milan92-76
BAY
LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul76-100WHapoel IBI Tel Aviv86-84

Team comparison

PARBAY
2-0Record1-1
83.7Points scored / game80.8
84.7Points allowed / game85.3
-0.9Adjusted margin / game-3.8
W2Current streakL1
2-0Last 10 games1-1
1-0 roadHome / road record0-0 home
16-22 (-4.9)Last season17-21 (-2.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.