Real Madrid vs Zalgiris prediction EuroLeague · Friday, February 12
At a glance
Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) host Real Madrid (6-3) on Friday, February 12 at 1:00 PM ET at ZALGIRIO ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Real Madrid a 51% chance to win and projects a 88-87 score (Real Madrid – Zalgiris), about 174 total points. This season, Zalgiris Kaunas are 1-2 at home and Real Madrid are 3-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas and 6-3 for Real Madrid (current streaks: Zalgiris W2, Real Madrid W6). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Zalgiris 87 – 88 Real Madrid, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Zalgiris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Real Madrid's offense (92.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
RMBZAL
Recent form
RMB
95-76W
104-86W
113-99W
111-92W
98-89ZAL
91-74W105-85L
70-85L80-99W
88-81Team comparison
| RMB | ZAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 4-4 |
| 92.4 | Points scored / game | 86.4 |
| 85.6 | Points allowed / game | 83.8 |
| +5.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.2 |
| W6 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 3-3 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 28-16 (+5.1) | Last season | 24-18 (+3.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.