Zalgiris vs Real Madrid prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, November 25
At a glance
Real Madrid (5-3) host Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) on Wednesday, November 25 at 2:45 PM ET at MOVISTAR ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Real Madrid a 70% chance to win and projects a 84-90 score (Zalgiris – Real Madrid), about 174 total points. This season, Real Madrid are 2-0 at home and Zalgiris Kaunas are 3-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for Real Madrid and 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas (current streaks: Real Madrid W5, Zalgiris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Real Madrid, but Zalgiris has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Real Madrid 90 – 84 Zalgiris, a margin of about 6.1 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Zalgiris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Real Madrid's offense (92.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ZALRMB
Recent form
ZAL
91-74W
105-85L
70-85L
80-99W
88-81RMB
104-86W
113-99W111-92W
98-89W
86-76Team comparison
| ZAL | RMB | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 5-3 |
| 86.4 | Points scored / game | 92.2 |
| 83.8 | Points allowed / game | 86.3 |
| +2.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | W5 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 5-3 |
| 3-2 road | Home / road record | 2-0 home |
| 24-18 (+3.8) | Last season | 28-16 (+5.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.