Bayern Munich vs Virtus Bologna prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, February 11
At a glance
Virtus Bologna (4-4) host FC Bayern Munich (2-7) on Thursday, February 11 at 2:30 PM ET at VIRTUS ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Virtus Bologna a 68% chance to win and projects a 83-88 score (Bayern Munich – Virtus Bologna), about 171 total points. This season, Virtus Bologna are 2-1 at home and FC Bayern Munich are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Virtus Bologna and 2-7 for FC Bayern Munich (current streaks: Virtus Bologna L2, Bayern Munich L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Virtus Bologna, but Bayern Munich has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Virtus Bologna 88 – 83 Bayern Munich, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of Virtus Bologna and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Bayern Munich needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BAYVIR
Recent form
BAY
73-103L
84-88L
91-107L
87-95W
101-93VIR
74-91L
81-90W
86-78W
96-94W94-87Team comparison
| BAY | VIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 4-4 |
| 83.3 | Points scored / game | 83.4 |
| 89.4 | Points allowed / game | 86.9 |
| -5.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.0 |
| L4 | Current streak | L2 |
| 2-7 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 2-3 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 17-21 (-2.9) | Last season | 14-24 (-4.6) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.