Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Anadolu Efes vs LDLC ASVEL prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, February 10

Wed, Feb 10 · 2:00 PM ETLDLC ARENA
47% win EFSwin ASV 53%
FavoriteASV
Projected margin0.9
Projected total171
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) host Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) on Wednesday, February 10 at 2:00 PM ET at LDLC ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne a 53% chance to win and projects a 85-86 score (Anadolu Efes – LDLC ASVEL), about 171 total points. This season, LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 2-2 at home and Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne and 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul (current streaks: LDLC ASVEL W1, Anadolu Efes L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects LDLC ASVEL 86 – 85 Anadolu Efes, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of LDLC ASVEL and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.

  • Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Anadolu Efes' defense allows clearly fewer points (86.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge LDLC ASVEL
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ASV -6.2 / EFS -3.9 per game
-2.3
Home-court advantageLDLC ASVEL at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor LDLC ASVEL
+0.9

Scenarios

LDLC ASVEL win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Anadolu Efes win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

EFSASV
81.9
Points scored / game
83.0
86.4
Points allowed / game
90.3
-3.9
Adjusted margin / game
-6.2
38 %
Win %
38 %
2
Home wins
2
1
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
EFS
LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv88-118WBesiktas Istanbul89-80WZalgiris Kaunas85-70LFC Bayern Munich93-101LOlympiacos Piraeus66-89
ASV
WPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade82-75LZalgiris Kaunas85-105LReal Madrid92-111LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade82-84WParis Basketball98-96

Team comparison

EFSASV
3-5Record3-5
81.9Points scored / game83.0
86.4Points allowed / game90.3
-3.9Adjusted margin / game-6.2
L1Current streakW1
3-5Last 10 games3-5
1-4 roadHome / road record2-2 home
12-26 (-4.2)Last season8-30 (-7.3)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.