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LDLC ASVEL vs Anadolu Efes prediction EuroLeague · Friday, November 20

Fri, Nov 20 · 12:30 PM ETTURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER
32% win ASVwin EFS 68%
FavoriteEFS
Projected margin5.5
Projected total171
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) host LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) on Friday, November 20 at 12:30 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Anadolu Efes Istanbul a 68% chance to win and projects a 83-88 score (LDLC ASVEL – Anadolu Efes), about 171 total points. This season, Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 2-1 at home and LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul and 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (current streaks: Anadolu Efes L1, LDLC ASVEL W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Anadolu Efes, but LDLC ASVEL has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Anadolu Efes 88 – 83 LDLC ASVEL, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of Anadolu Efes and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.

  • LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Anadolu Efes' defense allows clearly fewer points (86.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Anadolu Efes
Team strength (adjusted point differential)EFS -3.9 / ASV -6.2 per game
+2.3
Home-court advantageAnadolu Efes at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Anadolu Efes
+5.5

Scenarios

Anadolu Efes win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
LDLC ASVEL win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

ASVEFS
83.0
Points scored / game
81.9
90.3
Points allowed / game
86.4
-6.2
Adjusted margin / game
-3.9
38 %
Win %
38 %
2
Home wins
2
1
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
ASV
WPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade82-75LZalgiris Kaunas85-105LReal Madrid92-111LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade82-84WParis Basketball98-96
EFS
LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv88-118WBesiktas Istanbul89-80WZalgiris Kaunas85-70LFC Bayern Munich93-101LOlympiacos Piraeus66-89

Team comparison

ASVEFS
3-5Record3-5
83.0Points scored / game81.9
90.3Points allowed / game86.4
-6.2Adjusted margin / game-3.9
W1Current streakL1
3-5Last 10 games3-5
1-3 roadHome / road record2-1 home
8-30 (-7.3)Last season12-26 (-4.2)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.