FC Barcelona vs Valencia prediction EuroLeague · Friday, February 5
At a glance
Valencia Basket (6-2) host FC Barcelona (5-3) on Friday, February 5 at 2:45 PM ET at ROIG ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Valencia Basket a 73% chance to win and projects a 85-92 score (FC Barcelona – Valencia), about 177 total points. This season, Valencia Basket are 3-2 at home and FC Barcelona are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Valencia Basket and 5-3 for FC Barcelona (current streaks: Valencia W2, FC Barcelona W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 28% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Valencia starts with a clear edge. The model projects Valencia 92 – 85 FC Barcelona, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- FC Barcelona needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BARVBC
Recent form
BAR
88-84W
89-81L
100-105W
90-87L
81-88VBC
86-78W
104-93L88-91L97-102W
93-82Team comparison
| BAR | VBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 6-2 |
| 87.1 | Points scored / game | 93.9 |
| 85.7 | Points allowed / game | 88.1 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-3 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 3-1 road | Home / road record | 3-2 home |
| 22-18 (+0.8) | Last season | 28-16 (+4.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.