Fenerbahce vs LDLC ASVEL prediction EuroLeague · Friday, February 5
At a glance
LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) host Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-3) on Friday, February 5 at 2:00 PM ET at ASTROBALLE in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul a 67% chance to win and projects a 86-81 score (Fenerbahce – LDLC ASVEL), about 166 total points. This season, LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 2-2 at home and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne and 6-3 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (current streaks: LDLC ASVEL W1, Fenerbahce L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Fenerbahce, but LDLC ASVEL has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects LDLC ASVEL 81 – 86 Fenerbahce, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of Fenerbahce and a total around 166 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-6.2 vs +2.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (78.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
FBTASV
Recent form
FBT
76-95L
78-86W
64-61W
74-65W
99-80ASV82-75L85-105L92-111L
82-84W
98-96Team comparison
| FBT | ASV | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 3-5 |
| 80.8 | Points scored / game | 83.0 |
| 78.4 | Points allowed / game | 90.3 |
| +2.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.2 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 2-2 home |
| 27-16 (+1.4) | Last season | 8-30 (-7.3) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.