LDLC ASVEL vs Fenerbahce prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 17
At a glance
Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-3) host LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) on Tuesday, November 17 at 1:00 PM ET at ULKER SPORTS AND EVENT HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul a 84% chance to win and projects a 77-89 score (LDLC ASVEL – Fenerbahce), about 166 total points. This season, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 5-0 at home and LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul and 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (current streaks: Fenerbahce L2, LDLC ASVEL W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 21% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Fenerbahce dominates this matchup. The model projects Fenerbahce 89 – 77 LDLC ASVEL, a margin of about 11.4 points in favor of Fenerbahce and a total around 166 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+2.0 vs -6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (78.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ASVFBT
Recent form
ASV
82-75L
85-105L
92-111L
82-84W
98-96FBT76-95L
78-86W
64-61W74-65W99-80Team comparison
| ASV | FBT | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 6-3 |
| 83.0 | Points scored / game | 80.8 |
| 90.3 | Points allowed / game | 78.4 |
| -6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 3-5 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 5-0 home |
| 8-30 (-7.3) | Last season | 27-16 (+1.4) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.