Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Olympiacos vs Hapoel TLV prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, February 3

Wed, Feb 3 · 1:00 PM ETARENA 8888 SOFIA
47% win OLYwin HTA 53%
FavoriteHTA
Projected margin0.8
Projected total175
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) host Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) on Wednesday, February 3 at 1:00 PM ET at ARENA 8888 SOFIA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 53% chance to win and projects a 87-88 score (Olympiacos – Hapoel TLV), about 175 total points. This season, Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 4-1 at home and Olympiacos Piraeus are 5-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv and 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus (current streaks: Hapoel TLV W4, Olympiacos W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hapoel TLV 88 – 87 Olympiacos, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 175 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Olympiacos needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hapoel TLV
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HTA +3.9 / OLY +6.3 per game
-2.4
Home-court advantageHapoel TLV at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Hapoel TLV
+0.8

Scenarios

Hapoel TLV win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Olympiacos win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

OLYHTA
90.9
Points scored / game
90.4
83.5
Points allowed / game
85.8
6.3
Adjusted margin / game
3.9
75 %
Win %
75 %
1
Home wins
4
5
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
OLY
WBesiktas Istanbul81-73LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul61-64WFC Barcelona105-100WValencia Basket102-97WAnadolu Efes Istanbul89-66
HTA
WAnadolu Efes Istanbul118-88WVirtus Bologna90-81WPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens91-81WBesiktas Istanbul100-82LValencia Basket82-93

Team comparison

OLYHTA
6-2Record6-2
90.9Points scored / game90.4
83.5Points allowed / game85.8
+6.3Adjusted margin / game+3.9
W1Current streakW4
6-2Last 10 games6-2
5-1 roadHome / road record4-1 home
31-12 (+8.0)Last season24-18 (+1.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.