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Hapoel TLV vs Olympiacos prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, November 25

Wed, Nov 25 · 2:15 PM ETSUNEL ARENA
31% win HTAwin OLY 69%
FavoriteOLY
Projected margin5.6
Projected total175
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) host Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) on Wednesday, November 25 at 2:15 PM ET at SUNEL ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 69% chance to win and projects a 85-90 score (Hapoel TLV – Olympiacos), about 175 total points. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-1 at home and Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (current streaks: Olympiacos W1, Hapoel TLV W4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Olympiacos is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Olympiacos 90 – 85 Hapoel TLV, a margin of about 5.6 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 175 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Hapoel TLV needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Olympiacos
Team strength (adjusted point differential)OLY +6.3 / HTA +3.9 per game
+2.4
Home-court advantageOlympiacos at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Olympiacos
+5.6

Scenarios

Olympiacos win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Hapoel TLV win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

HTAOLY
90.4
Points scored / game
90.9
85.8
Points allowed / game
83.5
3.9
Adjusted margin / game
6.3
75 %
Win %
75 %
4
Home wins
1
2
Road wins
5

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
HTA
WAnadolu Efes Istanbul118-88WVirtus Bologna90-81WPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens91-81WBesiktas Istanbul100-82LValencia Basket82-93
OLY
WBesiktas Istanbul81-73LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul61-64WFC Barcelona105-100WValencia Basket102-97WAnadolu Efes Istanbul89-66

Team comparison

HTAOLY
6-2Record6-2
90.4Points scored / game90.9
85.8Points allowed / game83.5
+3.9Adjusted margin / game+6.3
W4Current streakW1
6-2Last 10 games6-2
2-1 roadHome / road record1-1 home
24-18 (+1.9)Last season31-12 (+8.0)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.