Real Madrid vs Partizan prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, February 2
At a glance
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) host Real Madrid (6-3) on Tuesday, February 2 at 2:45 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Real Madrid a 67% chance to win and projects a 88-83 score (Real Madrid – Partizan), about 170 total points. This season, Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-1 at home and Real Madrid are 3-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade and 6-3 for Real Madrid (current streaks: Partizan L1, Real Madrid W6). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Real Madrid, but Partizan has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Partizan 83 – 88 Real Madrid, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 170 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-2.6 vs +5.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Real Madrid's offense (92.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
RMBPAR
Recent form
RMB
95-76W
104-86W
113-99W
111-92W
98-89PAR75-82W
85-82L65-74L
55-72L76-86Team comparison
| RMB | PAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 4-4 |
| 92.4 | Points scored / game | 79.9 |
| 85.6 | Points allowed / game | 83.0 |
| +5.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.6 |
| W6 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 3-3 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 28-16 (+5.1) | Last season | 16-22 (-4.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.