Fenerbahce vs Baskonia prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, February 2
At a glance
Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-7) host Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-3) on Tuesday, February 2 at 2:30 PM ET at BUESA ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul a 68% chance to win and projects a 87-82 score (Fenerbahce – Baskonia), about 169 total points. This season, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 1-4 at home and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-7 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz and 6-3 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (current streaks: Baskonia L5, Fenerbahce L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Fenerbahce, but Baskonia has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Baskonia 82 – 87 Fenerbahce, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of Fenerbahce and a total around 169 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-6.5 vs +2.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Baskonia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Baskonia's offense (86.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (78.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
FBTKBA
Recent form
FBT
76-95L
78-86W
64-61W
74-65W
99-80KBA86-104L
79-85L
78-86L
79-93L
84-92Team comparison
| FBT | KBA | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 1-7 |
| 80.8 | Points scored / game | 86.0 |
| 78.4 | Points allowed / game | 93.6 |
| +2.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.5 |
| L2 | Current streak | L5 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 1-7 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 1-4 home |
| 27-16 (+1.4) | Last season | 13-25 (-4.7) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.