Partizan vs Milan prediction EuroLeague · Friday, January 29
At a glance
Armani Olimpia Milan (1-7) host Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) on Friday, January 29 at 2:30 PM ET at UNIPOL FORUM in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Armani Olimpia Milan a 56% chance to win and projects a 83-85 score (Partizan – Milan), about 168 total points. This season, Armani Olimpia Milan are 1-3 at home and Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-7 for Armani Olimpia Milan and 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (current streaks: Milan L6, Partizan L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Milan 85 – 83 Partizan, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of Milan and a total around 168 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Milan's offense (84.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Partizan's defense allows clearly fewer points (83.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PARMIL
Recent form
PAR
75-82W
85-82L
65-74L
55-72L
76-86MIL75-80L
81-89L
97-101L89-98L
79-97Team comparison
| PAR | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 1-7 |
| 79.9 | Points scored / game | 84.3 |
| 83.0 | Points allowed / game | 89.1 |
| -2.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | L6 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 1-7 |
| 2-3 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 16-22 (-4.9) | Last season | 17-21 (-1.2) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.