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Milan vs Partizan prediction EuroLeague · Friday, September 25

FinalBELGRADE ARENA
50% win MILwin PAR 50%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin0.0
Projected total171
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade host Armani Olimpia Milan on Friday, September 25 at 2:45 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Milan 76 – Partizan 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Armani Olimpia Milan a 50% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Partizan 85 – 86 Milan, a margin of about 0.0 points in favor of Milan and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Milan's offense (86.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Partizan
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PAR -4.2 / MIL -1.0 per game
-3.2
Home-court advantagePartizan at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Partizan
-0.0

Scenarios

Partizan win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Milan win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

MILPAR
86.1
Points scored / game
81.6
87.2
Points allowed / game
86.6
-1.0
Adjusted margin / game
-4.2

Early season: the numbers also lean on last season.

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
MIL
No games played yet.
PAR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILPAR
0-0Record0-0
86.1Points scored / game81.6
87.2Points allowed / game86.6
-1.0Adjusted margin / game-4.2
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
17-21 (-1.2)Last season16-22 (-4.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.