Maccabi vs Olympiacos prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, January 28
At a glance
Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) host Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) on Thursday, January 28 at 2:15 PM ET at PEACE AND FRIENDSHIP STADIUM in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 89% chance to win and projects a 82-96 score (Maccabi – Olympiacos), about 178 total points. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-1 at home and Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (current streaks: Olympiacos W1, Maccabi L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 17% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Olympiacos dominates this matchup. The model projects Olympiacos 96 – 82 Maccabi, a margin of about 14.2 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 178 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+6.3 vs -4.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
MTAOLY
Recent form
MTA
94-99L
78-100L
99-113W
91-88L
87-90OLY
81-73L
61-64W105-100W102-97W
89-66Team comparison
| MTA | OLY | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 6-2 |
| 88.3 | Points scored / game | 90.9 |
| 93.7 | Points allowed / game | 83.5 |
| -4.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.3 |
| L3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-7 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 1-4 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 18-20 (-2.5) | Last season | 31-12 (+8.0) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.