Olympiacos vs Maccabi prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 17
At a glance
Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-6) host Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) on Tuesday, November 17 at 12:00 PM ET at ALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 75% chance to win and projects a 93-85 score (Olympiacos – Maccabi), about 178 total points. This season, Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-2 at home and Olympiacos Piraeus are 5-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-6 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv and 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus (current streaks: Maccabi L2, Olympiacos W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 27% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Olympiacos dominates this matchup. The model projects Maccabi 85 – 93 Olympiacos, a margin of about 7.8 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 178 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-4.6 vs +6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
OLYMTA
Recent form
OLY
81-73L
61-64W
105-100W
102-97W
89-66MTA
78-100L
99-113W91-88L87-90W
97-79Team comparison
| OLY | MTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 2-6 |
| 90.9 | Points scored / game | 87.9 |
| 83.5 | Points allowed / game | 93.4 |
| +6.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 2-6 |
| 5-1 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 31-12 (+8.0) | Last season | 18-20 (-2.5) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.