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Dubai vs Anadolu Efes prediction EuroLeague · Friday, January 22

Fri, Jan 22 · 12:30 PM ETTURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER
54% win DUBwin EFS 46%
FavoriteDUB
Projected margin1.1
Projected total171
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) host Dubai Basketball (5-3) on Friday, January 22 at 12:30 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Dubai Basketball a 54% chance to win and projects a 86-85 score (Dubai – Anadolu Efes), about 171 total points. This season, Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 2-1 at home and Dubai Basketball are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul and 5-3 for Dubai Basketball (current streaks: Anadolu Efes L1, Dubai L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Anadolu Efes 85 – 86 Dubai, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of Dubai and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-3.9 vs +0.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Dubai's offense (87.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Anadolu Efes
Team strength (adjusted point differential)EFS -3.9 / DUB +0.4 per game
-4.3
Home-court advantageAnadolu Efes at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Anadolu Efes
-1.1

Scenarios

Anadolu Efes win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Dubai win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

DUBEFS
87.2
Points scored / game
81.9
86.7
Points allowed / game
86.4
0.4
Adjusted margin / game
-3.9
63 %
Win %
38 %
2
Home wins
2
3
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
DUB
LParis Basketball93-99WFC Bayern Munich107-91WArmani Olimpia Milan101-97WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz93-79LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade58-77
EFS
LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv88-118WBesiktas Istanbul89-80WZalgiris Kaunas85-70LFC Bayern Munich93-101LOlympiacos Piraeus66-89

Team comparison

DUBEFS
5-3Record3-5
87.2Points scored / game81.9
86.7Points allowed / game86.4
+0.4Adjusted margin / game-3.9
L1Current streakL1
5-3Last 10 games3-5
3-1 roadHome / road record2-1 home
19-19 (+0.1)Last season12-26 (-4.2)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.