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Anadolu Efes vs Dubai prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 17

Tue, Nov 17 · 11:00 AM ETCOCA-COLA ARENA
26% win EFSwin DUB 74%
FavoriteDUB
Projected margin7.5
Projected total171
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

Dubai Basketball (5-3) host Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) on Tuesday, November 17 at 11:00 AM ET at COCA-COLA ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Dubai Basketball a 74% chance to win and projects a 82-89 score (Anadolu Efes – Dubai), about 171 total points. This season, Dubai Basketball are 2-2 at home and Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for Dubai Basketball and 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul (current streaks: Dubai L1, Anadolu Efes L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 28% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.

The analysis Model

On paper, Dubai dominates this matchup. The model projects Dubai 89 – 82 Anadolu Efes, a margin of about 7.5 points in favor of Dubai and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs -3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Dubai's offense (87.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Dubai
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DUB +0.4 / EFS -3.9 per game
+4.3
Home-court advantageDubai at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Dubai
+7.5

Scenarios

Dubai win by 10+
41%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Anadolu Efes win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

EFSDUB
81.9
Points scored / game
87.2
86.4
Points allowed / game
86.7
-3.9
Adjusted margin / game
0.4
38 %
Win %
63 %
2
Home wins
2
1
Road wins
3

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
EFS
LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv88-118WBesiktas Istanbul89-80WZalgiris Kaunas85-70LFC Bayern Munich93-101LOlympiacos Piraeus66-89
DUB
LParis Basketball93-99WFC Bayern Munich107-91WArmani Olimpia Milan101-97WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz93-79LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade58-77

Team comparison

EFSDUB
3-5Record5-3
81.9Points scored / game87.2
86.4Points allowed / game86.7
-3.9Adjusted margin / game+0.4
L1Current streakL1
3-5Last 10 games5-3
1-4 roadHome / road record2-2 home
12-26 (-4.2)Last season19-19 (+0.1)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.