FC Barcelona vs Crvena Zvezda prediction EuroLeague · Friday, January 22
At a glance
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) host FC Barcelona (5-3) on Friday, January 22 at 2:00 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 71% chance to win and projects a 82-88 score (FC Barcelona – Crvena Zvezda), about 170 total points. This season, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 4-2 at home and FC Barcelona are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade and 5-3 for FC Barcelona (current streaks: Crvena Zvezda W2, FC Barcelona W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Crvena Zvezda, but FC Barcelona has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Crvena Zvezda 88 – 82 FC Barcelona, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 170 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- FC Barcelona needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BARCZV
Recent form
BAR
88-84W
89-81L
100-105W
90-87L
81-88CZV103-73W100-78L
82-85W
90-81W
84-82Team comparison
| BAR | CZV | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 6-3 |
| 87.1 | Points scored / game | 86.3 |
| 85.7 | Points allowed / game | 81.3 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.3 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-3 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 3-1 road | Home / road record | 4-2 home |
| 22-18 (+0.8) | Last season | 21-18 (+1.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.