Crvena Zvezda vs FC Barcelona prediction EuroLeague · Friday, November 20
At a glance
FC Barcelona (5-3) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) on Friday, November 20 at 2:30 PM ET at PALAU BLAUGRANA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives FC Barcelona a 50% chance to win and projects a 85-86 score (Crvena Zvezda – FC Barcelona), about 170 total points. This season, FC Barcelona are 2-2 at home and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for FC Barcelona and 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: FC Barcelona W2, Crvena Zvezda W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects FC Barcelona 86 – 85 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of FC Barcelona and a total around 170 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Crvena Zvezda needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
CZVBAR
Recent form
CZV
103-73W
100-78L
82-85W
90-81W
84-82BAR88-84W
89-81L
100-105W90-87L
81-88Team comparison
| CZV | BAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 5-3 |
| 86.3 | Points scored / game | 87.1 |
| 81.3 | Points allowed / game | 85.7 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 5-3 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 2-2 home |
| 21-18 (+1.1) | Last season | 22-18 (+0.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.