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Maccabi vs Dubai prediction EuroLeague · Friday, January 15

Fri, Jan 15 · 11:00 AM ETCOCA-COLA ARENA
24% win MTAwin DUB 76%
FavoriteDUB
Projected margin8.2
Projected total178
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

Dubai Basketball (5-3) host Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) on Friday, January 15 at 11:00 AM ET at COCA-COLA ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Dubai Basketball a 76% chance to win and projects a 85-93 score (Maccabi – Dubai), about 178 total points. This season, Dubai Basketball are 2-2 at home and Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for Dubai Basketball and 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (current streaks: Dubai L1, Maccabi L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 26% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.

The analysis Model

On paper, Dubai dominates this matchup. The model projects Dubai 93 – 85 Maccabi, a margin of about 8.2 points in favor of Dubai and a total around 178 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs -4.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Dubai's defense allows clearly fewer points (86.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Dubai
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DUB +0.4 / MTA -4.6 per game
+5.0
Home-court advantageDubai at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Dubai
+8.2

Scenarios

Dubai win by 10+
44%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Maccabi win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

MTADUB
88.3
Points scored / game
87.2
93.7
Points allowed / game
86.7
-4.6
Adjusted margin / game
0.4
22 %
Win %
63 %
1
Home wins
2
1
Road wins
3

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
MTA
LParis Basketball94-99LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade78-100LReal Madrid99-113WValencia Basket91-88LFC Barcelona87-90
DUB
LParis Basketball93-99WFC Bayern Munich107-91WArmani Olimpia Milan101-97WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz93-79LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade58-77

Team comparison

MTADUB
2-7Record5-3
88.3Points scored / game87.2
93.7Points allowed / game86.7
-4.6Adjusted margin / game+0.4
L3Current streakL1
2-7Last 10 games5-3
1-4 roadHome / road record2-2 home
18-20 (-2.5)Last season19-19 (+0.1)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.