Crvena Zvezda vs Zalgiris prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, January 14
At a glance
Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) on Thursday, January 14 at 1:00 PM ET at ZALGIRIO ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Zalgiris Kaunas a 54% chance to win and projects a 84-85 score (Crvena Zvezda – Zalgiris), about 169 total points. This season, Zalgiris Kaunas are 1-2 at home and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas and 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: Zalgiris W2, Crvena Zvezda W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Zalgiris 85 – 84 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of Zalgiris and a total around 169 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Crvena Zvezda needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
CZVZAL
Recent form
CZV
103-73W
100-78L
82-85W
90-81W
84-82ZAL
91-74W105-85L
70-85L
80-99W
88-81Team comparison
| CZV | ZAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 4-4 |
| 86.3 | Points scored / game | 86.4 |
| 81.3 | Points allowed / game | 83.8 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 21-18 (+1.1) | Last season | 24-18 (+3.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.