Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Partizan vs Besiktas prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, January 13

Wed, Jan 13 · 12:00 PM ETTURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER
34% win PARwin BJK 66%
FavoriteBJK
Projected margin4.8
Projected total168
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) host Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) on Wednesday, January 13 at 12:00 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Besiktas Istanbul a 66% chance to win and projects a 82-87 score (Partizan – Besiktas), about 168 total points. This season, Besiktas Istanbul are 1-3 at home and Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul and 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (current streaks: Besiktas L2, Partizan L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Besiktas, but Partizan has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Besiktas 87 – 82 Partizan, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of Besiktas and a total around 168 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.

  • Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Besiktas' offense (86.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Partizan's defense allows clearly fewer points (83.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Besiktas
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BJK -1.0 / PAR -2.6 per game
+1.6
Home-court advantageBesiktas at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Besiktas
+4.8

Scenarios

Besiktas win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Partizan win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

PARBJK
79.9
Points scored / game
86.2
83.0
Points allowed / game
87.3
-2.6
Adjusted margin / game
-1.0
50 %
Win %
38 %
2
Home wins
1
2
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
PAR
LLDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne75-82WCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade85-82LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul65-74LPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens55-72LReal Madrid76-86
BJK
LOlympiacos Piraeus73-81LAnadolu Efes Istanbul80-89WFC Bayern Munich95-87LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv82-100WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz92-84

Team comparison

PARBJK
4-4Record3-5
79.9Points scored / game86.2
83.0Points allowed / game87.3
-2.6Adjusted margin / game-1.0
L1Current streakL2
4-4Last 10 games3-5
2-3 roadHome / road record1-3 home
16-22 (-4.9)Last season–

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.