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Besiktas vs Partizan prediction EuroLeague · Friday, November 20

Fri, Nov 20 · 2:45 PM ETALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL
45% win BJKwin PAR 55%
FavoritePAR
Projected margin1.6
Projected total168
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) host Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) on Friday, November 20 at 2:45 PM ET at ALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade a 55% chance to win and projects a 83-85 score (Besiktas – Partizan), about 168 total points. This season, Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-1 at home and Besiktas Istanbul are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade and 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul (current streaks: Partizan L1, Besiktas L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Partizan 85 – 83 Besiktas, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of Partizan and a total around 168 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.

  • Besiktas needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Besiktas' offense (86.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Partizan's defense allows clearly fewer points (83.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Partizan
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PAR -2.6 / BJK -1.0 per game
-1.6
Home-court advantagePartizan at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Partizan
+1.6

Scenarios

Partizan win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Besiktas win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

BJKPAR
86.2
Points scored / game
79.9
87.3
Points allowed / game
83.0
-1.0
Adjusted margin / game
-2.6
38 %
Win %
50 %
1
Home wins
2
2
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
BJK
LOlympiacos Piraeus73-81LAnadolu Efes Istanbul80-89WFC Bayern Munich95-87LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv82-100WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz92-84
PAR
LLDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne75-82WCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade85-82LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul65-74LPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens55-72LReal Madrid76-86

Team comparison

BJKPAR
3-5Record4-4
86.2Points scored / game79.9
87.3Points allowed / game83.0
-1.0Adjusted margin / game-2.6
L2Current streakL1
3-5Last 10 games4-4
2-2 roadHome / road record2-1 home
–Last season16-22 (-4.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.