Valencia vs Panathinaikos prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, January 12
At a glance
Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (7-1) host Valencia Basket (6-2) on Tuesday, January 12 at 2:15 PM ET at TELEKOM CENTER ATHENS in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 65% chance to win and projects a 85-89 score (Valencia – Panathinaikos), about 174 total points. This season, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 6-1 at home and Valencia Basket are 3-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 7-1 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens and 6-2 for Valencia Basket (current streaks: Panathinaikos W2, Valencia W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Panathinaikos is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Panathinaikos 89 – 85 Valencia, a margin of about 4.3 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Valencia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (79.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VBCPAO
Recent form
VBC
86-78W
104-93L
88-91L
97-102W
93-82PAO
80-75W
85-79L81-91W
72-55W92-74Team comparison
| VBC | PAO | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 7-1 |
| 93.9 | Points scored / game | 86.6 |
| 88.1 | Points allowed / game | 79.5 |
| +4.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 7-1 |
| 3-0 road | Home / road record | 6-1 home |
| 28-16 (+4.1) | Last season | 25-19 (+1.7) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.