Panathinaikos vs Valencia prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 24
At a glance
Valencia Basket (6-2) host Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (7-1) on Tuesday, November 24 at 2:30 PM ET at ROIG ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Valencia Basket a 57% chance to win and projects a 86-88 score (Panathinaikos – Valencia), about 174 total points. This season, Valencia Basket are 3-2 at home and Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Valencia Basket and 7-1 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (current streaks: Valencia W2, Panathinaikos W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Valencia 88 – 86 Panathinaikos, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Panathinaikos needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (79.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PAOVBC
Recent form
PAO
80-75W
85-79L
81-91W
72-55W
92-74VBC86-78W
104-93L
88-91L
97-102W93-82Team comparison
| PAO | VBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 6-2 |
| 86.6 | Points scored / game | 93.9 |
| 79.5 | Points allowed / game | 88.1 |
| +6.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 7-1 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 3-2 home |
| 25-19 (+1.7) | Last season | 28-16 (+4.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.