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Bayern Munich vs Maccabi prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, January 12

Tue, Jan 12 · 2:30 PM ETALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL
37% win BAYwin MTA 63%
FavoriteMTA
Projected margin3.8
Projected total177
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) host FC Bayern Munich (2-7) on Tuesday, January 12 at 2:30 PM ET at ALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv a 63% chance to win and projects a 87-91 score (Bayern Munich – Maccabi), about 177 total points. This season, Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-3 at home and FC Bayern Munich are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv and 2-7 for FC Bayern Munich (current streaks: Maccabi L3, Bayern Munich L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 32% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Maccabi is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Maccabi 91 – 87 Bayern Munich, a margin of about 3.8 points in favor of Maccabi and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Bayern Munich needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Maccabi's offense (88.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Bayern Munich's defense allows clearly fewer points (89.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Maccabi
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MTA -4.6 / BAY -5.2 per game
+0.6
Home-court advantageMaccabi at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Maccabi
+3.8

Scenarios

Maccabi win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
32%
Bayern Munich win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

BAYMTA
83.3
Points scored / game
88.3
89.4
Points allowed / game
93.7
-5.2
Adjusted margin / game
-4.6
22 %
Win %
22 %
0
Home wins
1
2
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
BAY
LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade73-103LFC Barcelona84-88LDubai Basketball91-107LBesiktas Istanbul87-95WAnadolu Efes Istanbul101-93
MTA
LParis Basketball94-99LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade78-100LReal Madrid99-113WValencia Basket91-88LFC Barcelona87-90

Team comparison

BAYMTA
2-7Record2-7
83.3Points scored / game88.3
89.4Points allowed / game93.7
-5.2Adjusted margin / game-4.6
L4Current streakL3
2-7Last 10 games2-7
2-3 roadHome / road record1-3 home
17-21 (-2.9)Last season18-20 (-2.5)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.